Nvidia Dazzles at CES, But Stock Slumps

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  • December 21, 2024

The annual Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las Vegas serves as a prominent platform for unveiling technological innovations, and this year, Nvidia took center stage on the first dayCEO Jensen Huang's keynote garnered significant attention and applause, showcasing an array of new products, yet the market response was lukewarm, if not disenchantedThe variance between the engaging presentation and the stock market's reaction exemplifies the sometimes unpredictable nature of investor sentiment amidst corporate optimism.

On January 7, as the U.Sstock market opened, Nvidia's stock exhibited volatile behaviorInitially, shares skyrocketed, reaching an impressive market capitalization of over $3.6 trillion, a record for the companyHowever, this surge quickly turned into a decline, with Nvidia's stock closing more than 6% down, pulling its market cap back to $3.4 trillionThis rollercoaster movement in share prices captured the attention of both analysts and investors, highlighting the tense atmosphere within the tech investment landscape.

The larger U.S

stock market mirrored Nvidia's volatility, with all major indexes reflecting a shift from gains to lossesThe Dow Jones fell by 0.42%, the Nasdaq—which is often viewed as a barometer for tech stocks—dipped significantly by 1.89%, and the S&P 500 decreased by 1.11%.

Nvidia's presentation at CES was particularly vibrant, attended by a packed audience that formed lengthy queues outside the venue well before the event beganHuang, donning a shimmering black leather jacket, delivered a charismatic speech, unveiling products that had been eagerly awaited by gamers and developers alikeAmong the highlights were the much-anticipated RTX 5090 graphics cards, the Thor AI driving chip for vehicles, a new platform for robotics dubbed Cosmos, and what Huang described as the "world's smallest personal supercomputer," Project Digits.

Despite the fanfare surrounding these innovations, the market seemed somewhat uninspired

The absence of concrete details regarding Nvidia's forthcoming Blackwell AI chip, a product expected to play a pivotal role in the company’s future, dampened investor enthusiasmDuring the keynote, Huang refrained from diving deeper into data center offerings, only briefly mentioning that production had commenced for Blackwell.

Since being revealed last year, Blackwell has become a focal point for Nvidia, with investors closely monitoring the timeline for its release and productionThe first model in this series, the B200 GPU, encountered unforeseen setbacks, including design flaws and engineering challenges, which led to speculation about delayed shipmentsReports surfaced indicating that the B200's mass production originally scheduled for October 2024 could potentially be postponed to April 2025. This news resulted in a notable decline in Nvidia's shares, which fell by approximately 20% over 17 trading days.

In response to these concerns, Huang reassured investors during a quarterly earnings call that the issues had been mitigated in partnership with their supplier, TSMC

He also downplayed the market's anxieties surrounding Blackwell, indicating that demand was "crazy" and that revenues from these products were expected to soar in the upcoming quartersNevertheless, absence of specific updates regarding Blackwell during the CES presentation led analysts like Cody Acree to voice concerns over unmet expectations and the lack of news on the next-generation GPU architecture, Rubin.

While anticipation builds for the next earnings report and the upcoming GTC conference scheduled for March, it remains unclear whether these events will satisfy investor demand for informationThe excitement generated by Nvidia's product announcements was overshadowed by uncertainties regarding their core offerings.

Furthermore, the excitement regarding Nvidia's foray into the PC hardware market was notably temperedLate last year, reports disclosed that Nvidia was secretly developing a PC CPU based on Arm architecture to compete with established players Intel and AMD in the x86 domain

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Speculation had suggested that CES would serve as the unveiling of this significant advancement, yet the event proved to be less impactful than expected.

Instead, the newly announced Project Digits, focused on artificial intelligence, diverges from the anticipated Windows-based offeringsOfficially described as a personal AI supercomputer aimed primarily at developers—AI researchers and data scientists—the device operates on Linux rather than Windows, further distancing it from a conventional PC identity.

An Nvidia community developer stated that the entry price for Project Digits is around $3,000, positioning it as a high-end workstation more akin to Apple's Mac or Microsoft's Surface, rather than a typical personal computerCuriously, the highly publicized "PC CPU" that Nvidia is rumored to be developing was entirely absent from the announcements surrounding Project Digits, which relies on the GB10 super chip—a fusion of the latest Blackwell GPU and the Grace CPU, intended for high-performance applications rather than mainstream PC use.

However, a noteworthy collaboration mentioned in Nvidia's official announcement involved MediaTek, highlighting their input in the design of the GB10 chip, improving aspects such as energy efficiency and performance

As a result, MediaTek's stock saw a positive uptick, reinforcing the interconnected nature of the tech supply chain.

Additionally, reports from Reuters indicated that Nvidia's secretive CPU project could potentially be announced in September 2025, with an expected release by March 2026. Market analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Nvidia's foray into the PC space, acknowledging the high expectations that accompany the company's standing as the most valuable tech entity in the U.SIf these expectations alike are not met, the subsequent impact on stock prices could be dramaticMarket reactions will truly solidify once Nvidia delivers significant new products for laptops and desktops, addressing speculations that have hung over the company for months.

In conclusion, while Nvidia's CES presentation may have excited tech enthusiasts and industry insiders, the disconnect between buzz and actual market performance reveals the complexities of investor expectations

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